受生产商减产推动 油价连续第三周攀升

原标题:受生产商减产推动 油价连续第三周攀升

    中国石化新闻网讯 据8月21日Oil Monster消息:周五早盘油价上涨,为连续第三周上涨,主要石油生产国在对经济复苏的担忧下努力抑制产量。

    格林威治时间01:58时,美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)期货上涨8美分,涨幅0.2%,至每桶42.90美元,本周有望上涨2%。布伦特原油期货价格上涨16美分,涨幅0.4%,至每桶44.07美元,本周涨幅约为0.5%。但处于对经济的担忧,两份基准合约周四均下跌约1%。

    与此同时,石油输出国组织(欧佩克+)及其盟友的一份内部报告显示,欧佩克正致力于确保那些生产超出承诺的成员国削减产量。一些成员国需要将日产量削减231万桶,以弥补最近的供过于求。

    澳大利亚交易所交易基金提供商BetaShares Capital的首席投资官Louis Crous说:“他们真正关注的是欧佩克成员国的合规性。他们已经指出伊拉克与尼日利亚未曾100%执行减产,并督促两国严格执行减产协议以此来支撑油价。”

    内部报告指出需求风险,显示欧佩克+预计2020年的石油需求将下降910万桶/天,较先前预估多10万桶/天。该研究发现,如果第二波疫情在今年下半年冲击印度、欧洲和美国,2020年原油日需求量可能会减少1,120万桶。

    分析师表示,他们可能会看到布伦特原油价格保持在每桶45美元附近,但预计短期内市场不会大幅走高。

    冯娟 摘译自 Oil Monster

    原文如下:

    Oil Climbs for Third Straight Week, Buoyed by Producers Holding Back Output

    Oil prices rose in early trade on Friday, on track for a third straight week of gains, buoyed by major oil producers’ efforts to hold back output amid concerns about the economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.

    U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 futures inched up 8 cents, or 0.2%, to $42.90 at 0158 GMT, on course for a 2% rise for the week.

    Brent crude LCOc1 futures rose 16 cents, or 0.4%, to $44.07, heading for a weekly rise around 0.5%.

    Both benchmark contracts fell around 1% on Thursday on economic concerns after weekly U.S. jobless claims came in higher than expected.

    Meanwhile, an internal report by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, showed the group known as OPEC+ was focused on ensuring that members who had overproduced against their commitments would cut their output, as flagged following an OPEC+ meeting on Wednesday.

    Reuters reported that OPEC+ found some members would need to slash output by 2.31 million barrels per day to make up for their recent oversupply.

    “They’re really focusing on the compliance from OPEC members. They’ve called out Iraq and Nigeria for not complying. That’s all been very good for supporting prices,” said Louis Crous, chief investment officer at BetaShares Capital, an exchange-traded fund provider in Australia.

    The internal report flagged demand risks, showing OPEC+ expects oil demand in 2020 to fall by 9.1 million bpd, 100,000 bpd more than in its previous forecast.

    And it found if a prolonged second wave of infections hits India, Europe and the United States in the second half of the year, demand could fall by 11.2 million bpd in 2020.

    “My expectation would be demand continues to be quite a bumpy recovery,” said Lachlan Shaw, National Australia Bank’s head of commodity research.

    Analysts said they could see Brent holding near $45 a barrel but did not expect the market to push much higher in the near term.

    “It’s difficult to see conviction either way. From a seasonal perspective, you’d probably anticipate things to weaken a bit,” Shaw said.

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